Safety play?
I haven't had much time lately to post new messages, but I've finally found a moment to write something. It's about a hand I played yesterday:
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Playing with my fantunes-partner against a pair who plays a very similar system, the auction went:
2♠! - pass - pass - Dbl
pass - 2NT! - pass - 3♣!
pass - 3♥ - pass - pass
pass
2♠ shows 10-13HCP with 5+♠, unbalanced.
2NT was Lebensohl.
My partner lead ♣Q to dummy's King and my Ace. After some thought I returned ♣ to my partner's Jack, who switched to ♠8. Dummy played low and so did I, LHO taking with his ♠K. Now it was his turn to make the best out of it. There's no way he can make the contract (thanks to the auction he knows that ♠s don't behave), so it's damage control: ♦Q better be onside, and there's a sure ♥ loser. Better not make that 2!
It basically comes to this: what is the safest line of play for 1 loser with following holding:
AJ862
T753
You think you know it? Ok, read on then.
At the table, LHO played ♥A, completely ruining his chances for one down. I checked with "suitplay" to figure out if there isn't a better way here, because the J, T, 8, 7 and 6 are all great cards. Suitplay proved me right: it says that you should start with ♥5 and just cover anything LHO (North here) plays! If it loses, you should finesse again.
This is a remarkable different line from when you have AJxxx and Kxxx, so these middle cards are really worth something.
On the current layout, this line of play would've succeeded. There's a clue however that finessing twice is probably better: with my opening bid of 2♠, I told everyone I have 10-13HCP. West knew about ♠AJ and ♣A, it's impossible for me to hold ♥KQ. It is possible however that I have a void, in which case you better finesse.
If you want ♦Q to be onside, I can only have ♥Q as well. This implies that if West would lose his ♥ finesse to the King, he knows the location of ♦Q as well.
